I'm digging out of a variety of situations this week, and have really been busier than I can recall in recent memory. I've got a bunch of fractured thoughts for this forum that I have not had the time to condense into decent entries, but I think I need to go ahead and post some of it now. If I can get back to these items later, so be it.
First. Katrina.
Oh my, oh my. My wife didn't really 'get it' when I told her before the storm hit that this was going to be very very bad. In fact, I'm sure that many folks didn't really understand the magnitude of what was about to happen. Four years ago, in the summer of 2001, FEMA conducted a study to determine what the 'worst-case' disaster scenarios in the United States were. The top three results: a terrorist attack on New York City, a Category Four or higher hurricane striking New Orleans, and a major earthquake (the 'Big One') in Southern California. That FEMA study indicated that possible casualties for the New Orleans hurricane scenario could reach 40,000. That's a lot of dead people, folks.
The threats facing New Orleans were not limited to esoteric FEMA studies, however. This
National Geographic article, published October of 2004, is eerily prescient in its description of the then-hypothetical scenario of a Cat 4 or 5 hurricane hitting southeast Louisiana. Reading that article now, you get the feeling that you could be reading a current news article.
So even with the knowledge that the city of New Orleans and its citizens were in mortal peril, folks still managed to not take Katrina seriously enough. Much criticism has been heaped upon FEMA and the Federal Government's response to the catastrophe, but that is only one facet of the many failures. Across the Gulf Coast, local, state and federal emergency response plans failed against the onslaught of Katrina's wind, surge, and waves. Why? Many academic papers will be written about that in the years to come.
From initial reports, the largest major failure was the lack of planning for a scenario (such as Katrina) where local authorities were completely overwhelmed in such a short time period. In the traditional emergency management scenario, everything is treated as a local problem. Local and county officials respond, then call for help from the state. When the state starts to get overwhelmed they either call for help from neighboring states or from FEMA. FEMA's role is to support local authorites with resources and expertise, but that calls for excellent communications, intelligence, and planning. Those three factors were missing in the hours and days following landfall.
I've got some more thoughts and observations, but I'm running out of time. I'm fairly certain I'll revisit this topic time and again.
In response to Katrina, my research center has successfully deployed two of our recovery programs to the impacted region. These programs were designed to assist people who suffered loss or damage of thier homes during disasters, and proved very effective in Florida during last year's active hurricane season. We've been staying very busy coordinating with agencies ranging from private associations, to FEMA and the Department of Homeland Security. It's satisfying work, and it's made better by the fact that my software is working well.
On a lighter note...
The scenario paintball game last weekend at Camp Blanding was a blast. I'll save some long-winded descriptions of the action for when I have more time. My Automag was wokring more like a blender than a paintgun - it was a mess. So much in fact, that I gave up on it, and played a lot of the game with my sidearms only. It was a lot of fun. This has gotten me thinking about the purchase of a new paintball gun, however. I'm leaning toward a Tippmann A-5, but I'm considering the Smart Parts Ion as well. Performance wise, both are a step forward from my older 'Mag. If I get the A-5, I'm going to splurge on the E-Grip, which would give me burst fire, full auto, and turbo modes. Personally, I think that this is my best choice for scenarioball. More on that as I make a decision.
Well, that's all the time I have.